This was a good listen, an interview with Margaret Heffernan on the pitfalls of making and believing predictions. If we were still doing Skeptics live, I'd have booked her.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000gsm8
Is predicting a science or a dark art?
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Re: Is predicting a science or a dark art?
I haven't listened to your link yet but I've been to a couple of panel discussions with Margaret Heffernan through the Bristol Festival of Ideas and she's been consistently excellent. I started a thread on her last one about the future. I never got round to writing the blogpost but I recorded audio of the evening so will try and put something together, maybe once I've also finished her book.
it's okay to say "I don't know"